Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.118056 0.131605 0.145476 0.160702 0.176905 0.193597 0.212054
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.100743 0.119570 0.139577 0.162288 0.187222 0.213642 0.243631
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.089708 0.112383 0.137246 0.166251 0.198886 0.234218 0.275108
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.078632 0.103765 0.132152 0.166109 0.205158 0.248230 0.298907
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.071758 0.099160 0.130919 0.169721 0.215153 0.266027 0.326674
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.064749 0.093664 0.128035 0.170882 0.221901 0.279824 0.349694
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.058003 0.087861 0.124250 0.170505 0.226461 0.290812 0.369279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.052769 0.083498 0.121829 0.171423 0.232275 0.303050 0.390165
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.047365 0.078452 0.118174 0.170493 0.235594 0.312150 0.407239
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.044383 0.076392 0.118113 0.173865 0.244018 0.327233 0.431324
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.040631 0.072966 0.116035 0.174483 0.248898 0.337967 0.450194
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.037038 0.069477 0.113642 0.174501 0.252879 0.347511 0.467578
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.033065 0.065230 0.110126 0.173055 0.255122 0.355143 0.482997
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.030437 0.062785 0.108924 0.174540 0.261015 0.367233 0.503842
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028851 0.061813 0.109694 0.178601 0.270195 0.383408 0.529728
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026134 0.058821 0.107417 0.178409 0.273779 0.392569 0.547015
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024767 0.057912 0.108070 0.182167 0.282491 0.408159 0.572257
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022826 0.055872 0.106941 0.183372 0.287789 0.419426 0.592166
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020644 0.053221 0.104750 0.182972 0.290876 0.427843 0.608516
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018973 0.051319 0.103582 0.183930 0.295717 0.438465 0.627618
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017009 0.048687 0.101144 0.182956 0.297873 0.445598 0.642323
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016159 0.048087 0.101842 0.186482 0.306117 0.460574 0.666930
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.014789 0.046337 0.100614 0.187128 0.310390 0.470400 0.685044